Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Greeley

Tract 56021000300 · Laramie County, WY · pop 4,495 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 56021000300 in the Orchard Valley area of Cheyenne, WY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,495. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 13% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,547
Renter share32.1%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$65,341

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Orchard Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 21 tracts In South Greeley
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 27 tracts In Laramie County
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 160 tracts In Wyoming
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Greeley and the region

Centroid at 41.1086, -104.8305 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Valley scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Greeley
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Wyoming legislature & governorship
1.3
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,120 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Greeley
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Greeley
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Greeley
1.5

How Orchard Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orchard Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0003003.7South Greeleyparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orchard Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Valley

59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Laramie County average of 43.3%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.3/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.0 points above the Laramie County average of 3.6.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WY average is 3.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,120, close to the Cheyenne average.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $65,341.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 56021000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 56021000300?

Census tract 56021000300 in the Orchard Valley neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 56021000300?

Median gross rent is $1,120/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 56021000300?

18.7% of residents in tract 56021000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,495.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 56021000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 81th, minority 49th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 56021000300 considered part of Orchard Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 56021000300 fall within Orchard Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 56021000300 compare to South Greeley overall?

Tract 56021000300 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of South Greeley at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Greeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Greeley

Top eight tracts in South Greeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related