Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Greeley
Tract 56021000404 · Laramie County, WY · pop 1,773 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
56021000404 is a census tract in the Orchard Valley area of South Greeley, WY. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,773 residents. Against Laramie County at 43.3%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,149
Renter share58.5%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$56,383
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across South Greeley and the region
Centroid at 41.1056, -104.8052 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Valley scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South Greeley
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Wyoming legislature & governorship
1.3
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,165 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Greeley
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Greeley
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Greeley
7.0
How Orchard Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orchard Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Valley
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.3/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Average gross rent is $1,165, 15% below the South Greeley average. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.9/10. Against the Laramie County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.5% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10. Statewide the WY average is 3.6, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $56,383. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 56021000404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 56021000404?
Census tract 56021000404 in the Orchard Valley neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 56021000404?
Median gross rent is $1,165/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 56021000404?
11.5% of residents in tract 56021000404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,773.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 56021000404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 64th, minority 42th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 56021000404 considered part of Orchard Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 56021000404 fall within Orchard Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 56021000404 compare to South Greeley overall?
Tract 56021000404 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of South Greeley at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Greeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South Greeley
Top eight tracts in South Greeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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