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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Greeley

Tract 56021000401 · Laramie County, WY · pop 5,000 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 56021000401 sits in the Orchard Valley area of South Greeley eviction risk, WY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 5,000. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.3/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 18% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,027
Renter share27.0%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate21.7%
Median income$56,827

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Orchard Valley
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In South Greeley
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 27 tracts In Laramie County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 160 tracts In Wyoming
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Greeley and the region

Centroid at 41.0789, -104.8142 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Valley scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Greeley
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Wyoming legislature & governorship
1.3
Economic stress
21.7% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,095 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Greeley
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Greeley
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Greeley
7.0

How Orchard Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orchard Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0004013.7South Greeleyparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orchard Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Valley

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Cost burden runs 35% here against 43.3% across Laramie County.

It sits 1.5 points above the Laramie County average of 3.6. Average gross rent is $1,095, 20% below the South Greeley average. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7/10. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WY average is 3.6, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $56,827.

27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 56021000401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 56021000401?

Census tract 56021000401 in the Orchard Valley neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 56021000401?

Median gross rent is $1,095/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 56021000401?

21.7% of residents in tract 56021000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,000.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 56021000401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 90th, minority 44th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 56021000401 considered part of Orchard Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 56021000401 fall within Orchard Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 56021000401 compare to South Greeley overall?

Tract 56021000401 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of South Greeley at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Greeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Greeley

Top eight tracts in South Greeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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