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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Germantown Nashville, TN Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037014200 · Davidson County, TN · pop 2,361 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 47037014200 runs through the Germantown Nashville, TN neighborhood of Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance). With 2,361 residents, it scores 5.4/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #40,429 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $812 a month while the average household earns $25,455 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 83% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 42% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units820
Renter share82.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate49.2%
Median income$25,455

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Germantown Nashville, TN
Very High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#196 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1669, -86.8037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Germantown Nashville, TN scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
49.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$812 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Germantown Nashville, TN compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Germantown Nashville, TN risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 014200Nashville: 2.52.5Nashvilleparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 379Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 13.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-02-01: 21 filings (2.03× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 7 filings (0.51× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.04× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2020-09-01: 17 filings (0.76× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.75× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (0.22× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.04× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (0.45× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.12× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (0.39× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (0.19× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.15× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.08× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (0.09× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (0.18× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.19× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (0.63× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 9 filings (0.66× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.04× baseline)2023-08-01: 10 filings (0.91× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (0.09× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (0.25× baseline)2023-11-01: 7 filings (0.36× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (2.26× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (0.49× baseline)2024-02-01: 15 filings (1.45× baseline)2024-03-01: 5 filings (0.42× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (0.24× baseline)2024-06-01: 7 filings (0.51× baseline)2024-07-01: 24 filings (0.95× baseline)2024-08-01: 8 filings (0.73× baseline)2024-09-01: 6 filings (0.27× baseline)2024-10-01: 8 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.10× baseline)2024-12-01: 14 filings (10.53× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (0.24× baseline)2025-02-01: 7 filings (0.68× baseline)2025-03-01: 44 filings (3.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (0.63× baseline)2025-05-01: 9 filings (0.43× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.15× baseline)2025-07-01: 4 filings (0.16× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-09-01: 8 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (0.10× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (1.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Germantown Nashville, TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Germantown Nashville, TN

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.37x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037014200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037014200?

Census tract 47037014200 in the Germantown Nashville, TN neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037014200?

Median gross rent is $812/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037014200?

49.2% of residents in tract 47037014200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,361.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037014200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 26th, minority 86th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 47037014200 considered part of Germantown Nashville, TN?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037014200 fall within Germantown Nashville, TN (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037014200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037014200 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037014200 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037014200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 91% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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