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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Germantown Nashville, TN Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037012600 · Davidson County, TN · pop 1,939 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 47037012600 sits in the Germantown Nashville, TN area of Nashville eviction risk, TN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. Cost burden runs 57% here against 46.0% across Davidson County.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 19% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units691
Renter share43.4%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$69,716

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Germantown Nashville, TN
Moderate
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#505 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1871, -86.7720 · click any tract to drill in

Why Germantown Nashville, TN scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,450 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Germantown Nashville, TN compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Germantown Nashville, TN risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0126003.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 283Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.23×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Germantown Nashville, TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Germantown Nashville, TN

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.

At $1,450 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Nashville commands. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Davidson County average of 3.9 closely.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $69,716. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037012600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037012600?

Census tract 47037012600 in the Germantown Nashville, TN neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037012600?

Median gross rent is $1,450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037012600?

17.1% of residents in tract 47037012600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,939.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037012600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 12th, minority 69th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 47037012600 considered part of Germantown Nashville, TN?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037012600 fall within Germantown Nashville, TN (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037012600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037012600 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037012600 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037012600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 57% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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