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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Germantown Nashville, TN Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037012600 · Davidson County, TN · pop 1,939 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 47037012600 runs through Germantown Nashville, TN in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance). With 1,939 residents, it scores 4.8/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,450 monthly, set against $69,716 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 19% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units691
Renter share43.4%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$69,716

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Germantown Nashville, TN
Moderate
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#60 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Elevated
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#890 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1871, -86.7720 · click any tract to drill in

Why Germantown Nashville, TN scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,450 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Germantown Nashville, TN compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Germantown Nashville, TN risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 012600Nashville: 2.52.5Nashvilleparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 283Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.23×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (1.36× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.64× baseline)2020-10-01: 13 filings (2.29× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 17 filings (6.37× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2021-07-01: 8 filings (4.79× baseline)2021-08-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.64× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (1.12× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.43× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-12-01: 15 filings (6.44× baseline)2025-01-01: 14 filings (3.81× baseline)2025-02-01: 5 filings (1.87× baseline)2025-03-01: 17 filings (7.30× baseline)2025-04-01: 12 filings (2.57× baseline)2025-05-01: 11 filings (3.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 14 filings (5.24× baseline)2025-07-01: 21 filings (12.57× baseline)2025-08-01: 14 filings (4.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.35× baseline)2025-11-01: 12 filings (6.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 13 filings (5.58× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Germantown Nashville, TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Germantown Nashville, TN

What moves this score most is economic stress at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.23x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 57% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037012600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037012600?

Census tract 47037012600 in the Germantown Nashville, TN neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037012600?

Median gross rent is $1,450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037012600?

17.1% of residents in tract 47037012600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,939.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037012600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 12th, minority 69th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 47037012600 considered part of Germantown Nashville, TN?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037012600 fall within Germantown Nashville, TN (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037012600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037012600 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037012600 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037012600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 57% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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