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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Germantown Nashville, TN Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037019401 · Davidson County, TN · pop 3,028 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

47037019401 is a census tract in the Germantown Nashville, TN area of Nashville, TN. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,028. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 35% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,274
Renter share78.5%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$72,377

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Germantown Nashville, TN
Low
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#65 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Elevated
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#551 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1721, -86.7921 · click any tract to drill in

Why Germantown Nashville, TN scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,986 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Germantown Nashville, TN compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Germantown Nashville, TN risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0194013.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 579Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Germantown Nashville, TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Germantown Nashville, TN

This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $72,377, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 55% here against 46.0% across Davidson County. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Average gross rent is $1,986, 25% above the Nashville average. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Davidson County average of 3.9 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037019401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019401?

Census tract 47037019401 in the Germantown Nashville, TN neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037019401?

Median gross rent is $1,986/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019401?

16.8% of residents in tract 47037019401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,028.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 2th, minority 65th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 47037019401 considered part of Germantown Nashville, TN?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037019401 fall within Germantown Nashville, TN (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037019401 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037019401 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037019401 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037019401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 90% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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