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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Germantown Nashville, TN Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037013900 · Davidson County, TN · pop 1,768 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 47037013900 in the Germantown Nashville, TN area of Nashville, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,768. Against Davidson County at 46.0%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 21% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units628
Renter share58.6%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$58,676

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Germantown Nashville, TN
Elevated
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 166 tracts In Nashville
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#264 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1758, -86.8059 · click any tract to drill in

Why Germantown Nashville, TN scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,384 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Germantown Nashville, TN compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Germantown Nashville, TN risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0139003.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 282Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Germantown Nashville, TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Germantown Nashville, TN

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 1.0 points above the Davidson County average of 3.9. Average gross rent is $1,384, 13% below the Nashville average. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $58,676.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037013900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037013900?

Census tract 47037013900 in the Germantown Nashville, TN neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037013900?

Median gross rent is $1,384/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037013900?

19.8% of residents in tract 47037013900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,768.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037013900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 70th, minority 90th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 47037013900 considered part of Germantown Nashville, TN?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037013900 fall within Germantown Nashville, TN (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037013900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037013900 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037013900 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037013900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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