Nashville Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Davidson County average of 3.9. Average gross rent is $1,306, 18% below the Nashville average. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.