2 census tracts · pop 8,491 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 5.2–5.2
McMurray Circle spans 2 census tracts of Nashville, TN, population 8,491. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. 60% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Nashville rate of 31.8%.
29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.7/10.
The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.3/10.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. At $1,351 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Nashville commands. Among the 40 mapped neighborhoods of Nashville, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
McMurray Circle vs NashvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in McMurray Circle
Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,282Total filings 2020-21
8.0Avg monthly observed
6.3Pre-pandemic baseline
1.44×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville, TN).
Frequently asked
About McMurray Circle
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for McMurray Circle?
McMurray Circle scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does McMurray Circle compare to Nashville overall?
McMurray Circle scores 1.4 points higher than Nashville overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,351 vs $1,586.
Q3
What is the average rent in McMurray Circle?
Average gross rent in McMurray Circle is $1,351/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of McMurray Circle residents are renters?
62% of McMurray Circle households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Nashville). The neighborhood has 8,491 residents.
Q5
Is McMurray Circle a high social-vulnerability area?
McMurray Circle sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in McMurray Circle have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in McMurray Circle is census tract 47037019004 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.2, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is McMurray Circle for landlords?
McMurray Circle carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Nashville as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of McMurray Circle?
McMurray Circle has 8,608 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
