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Neighborhood · Nashville, TN

McMurray Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,491 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.9–5.2

McMurray Circle is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Nashville with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,491 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,351/month sits 15% lower than the Nashville citywide average ($1,586).

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
McMurray Circle vs Nashville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.3% +90%
Nashville: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$1,351 -15%
Nashville: $1,586
Average HH income
$44,077 -45%
Nashville: $79,640
Poverty rate
24.2% +70%
Nashville: 14.3%
Renter share
61.9% +30%
Nashville: 47.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across McMurray Circle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.9–5.2

Why McMurray Circle scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Economic stress
24.2% below poverty line · Range 5.4–6.6 across tracts
6.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.6 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

McMurray Circle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

McMurray Circle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.McMurray Circle: 5.15.1McMurray CircleNeighborhoodParent city: 2.52.5Parent cityhost cityState: 2.42.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in McMurray Circle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
47037019004 5.2 4,673 48% $1,313
47037019003 4.9 3,818 75% $1,397
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 59%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in McMurray Circle

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,282Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.0Avg monthly observed
  • 6.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.44×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville, TN).

Frequently asked

About McMurray Circle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for McMurray Circle?

McMurray Circle scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does McMurray Circle compare to Nashville overall?

McMurray Circle scores 2.6 points higher than Nashville overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,351 vs $1,586.
Q3

What is the average rent in McMurray Circle?

Average gross rent in McMurray Circle is $1,351/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of McMurray Circle residents are renters?

62% of McMurray Circle households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Nashville). The neighborhood has 8,491 residents.
Q5

Is McMurray Circle a high social-vulnerability area?

McMurray Circle sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in McMurray Circle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in McMurray Circle is census tract 47037019004 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 5.2, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is McMurray Circle for landlords?

McMurray Circle carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Nashville as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of McMurray Circle?

McMurray Circle has 8,608 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near McMurray Circle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Nashville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to McMurray Circle.

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