New Heights District Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 61%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.7/10. Against a Nashville baseline of 31.8%, 38% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Among the 40 mapped neighborhoods of Nashville, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, Tusculum Square and Mudtavern score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $22,682.

With little internal variation, 5.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.