McMurray Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville

75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Davidson County average of 46.0%. Set annual rent against average income of $42,264 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Adults with no health insurance runs 29.6% against 11.3% nationally.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Disability prevalence runs 44.7% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.3 points above the Davidson County average of 3.9. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,397 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Nashville commands.

That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.