Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
McMurray Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville
Tract 47037019004 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,673 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
In the McMurray Circle neighborhood of Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), census tract 47037019004 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 38% of US census tracts.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,313 a month while the average household earns $45,559 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,536
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate26.4%
Median income$45,559
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.0699, -86.7141 · click any tract to drill in
Why McMurray Circle scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
26.4% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,313 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1
How McMurray Circle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 406Total filings 2020-21
- 5.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McMurray Circle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McMurray Circle
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.72x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47037019004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019004?
Census tract 47037019004 in the McMurray Circle neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47037019004?
Median gross rent is $1,313/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019004?
26.4% of residents in tract 47037019004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,673.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 62th, minority 85th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 47037019004 considered part of McMurray Circle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037019004 fall within McMurray Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47037019004 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47037019004 compare to Nashville overall?
Tract 47037019004 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
47037010403
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Downtown Nashville
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037015900
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Germantown Nashville, TN
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
47037012801
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TN
Madison
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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