6 census tracts · pop 20,870 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10
· range 3.3–5.2
The Gulch is a 6-tract neighborhood of Nashville, TN and houses 20,870 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.6/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 31.8% citywide, putting The Gulch 28.0% over its own city.
34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.7/10. The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.3 to 5.2, a 1.9-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.3/10.
The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,860, 17% above the Nashville average of $1,586. That places it #10 of 40 neighborhoods in Nashville.
For a like-for-like read, Madison and The Vistas score within a fraction of it.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
The Gulch vs NashvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in The Gulch
Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
2,794Total filings 2020-21
5.9Avg monthly observed
4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville, TN).
Frequently asked
About The Gulch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Gulch?
The Gulch scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Gulch compare to Nashville overall?
The Gulch scores 0.8 points higher than Nashville overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,860 vs $1,586.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Gulch?
Average gross rent in The Gulch is $1,860/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Gulch residents are renters?
86% of The Gulch households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Nashville). The neighborhood has 20,870 residents.
Q5
Is The Gulch a high social-vulnerability area?
The Gulch sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in The Gulch have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in The Gulch is census tract 47037016500 (score 5.2/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 5.2, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7
How safe is The Gulch for landlords?
The Gulch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Nashville as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of The Gulch?
The Gulch has 22,041 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
