Neighborhood · Nashville, TN

The Gulch Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 20,870 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 3.2–5.2

The Gulch is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Nashville with 6 census tracts and a population of 20,870 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 60% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 34% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,860/month sits 17% higher than the Nashville citywide average ($1,586).

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

6 tracts · population-weighted

The Gulch vs Nashville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

59.8% +88%

Nashville: 31.8%

Average gross rent

$1,860 +17%

Nashville: $1,586

Average HH income

$68,485 -14%

Nashville: $79,640

Poverty rate

20.5% +44%

Nashville: 14.3%

Renter share

85.9% +81%

Nashville: 47.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Gulch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3.2–5.2

Why The Gulch scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts

1.9

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Rent control risk

60% of income on rent · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

86% renter households · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Economic stress

20.5% below poverty line · Range 3.4–7.3 across tracts

5.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–7.1 across tracts

5.2

Risk score comparison

The Gulch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in The Gulch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2 points from 3.2 to 5.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

5.2 4.8 4.3 4.3 3.7 3.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in The Gulch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
47037016500	5.2	4,565	77%	$1,902
47037014400	4.8	2,897	62%	$1,813
47037016400	4.3	4,413	55%	$1,243
47037019501	4.3	2,540	59%	$2,203
47037019502	3.7	3,834	60%	$2,113
47037016300	3.2	2,621	36%	$2,172

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 8%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 74%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Gulch

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

2,794Total filings 2020-21
5.9Avg monthly observed
4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.66×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville, TN).

Frequently asked

About The Gulch

What is the eviction-risk score for The Gulch?

The Gulch scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does The Gulch compare to Nashville overall?

The Gulch scores 1.8 points higher than Nashville overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,860 vs $1,586.

What is the average rent in The Gulch?

Average gross rent in The Gulch is $1,860/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of The Gulch residents are renters?

86% of The Gulch households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Nashville). The neighborhood has 20,870 residents.

Is The Gulch a high social-vulnerability area?

The Gulch sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in The Gulch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Gulch is census tract 47037016500 (score 5.2/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 5.2, a spread of 2 points.

How safe is The Gulch for landlords?

The Gulch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Nashville as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of The Gulch?

The Gulch has 22,041 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Gulch

4.7 Wedgewood-Houston 2 tracts · pop 5,563 4.3 Downtown Nashville 2 tracts · pop 7,912 4.3 Germantown Nashville, TN 6 tracts · pop 15,255 2.6 Melrose/Waverly Nashville TN 5 tracts · pop 20,216 5.6 New Heights District 2 tracts · pop 4,274 3.1 West Nashville 5 tracts · pop 20,925

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Nashville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Gulch.

4.3 Bell Crest 1 tracts · pop 5,135 4.4 The Vistas 2 tracts · pop 8,914 4.4 Madison 4 tracts · pop 13,962 4.4 Downtown Nashville 2 tracts · pop 7,912 4.1 Little Kurdistan 5 tracts · pop 18,776 4.1 Hermitage 1 tracts · pop 2,790

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