Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Johnstown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Smyrna

Tract 47149040311 · Rutherford County, TN · pop 3,562 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 47149040311 in the Johnstown area of Smyrna, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 32% Owners 35%

Tract context

Occupied units1,396

Renter share64.6%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate2.2%

Median income$56,715

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Centroid at 35.9763, -86.5605 · click any tract to drill in

Why Johnstown scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Smyrna

4.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Tennessee legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

2.2% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,150 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Smyrna

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Smyrna

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Smyrna

5.9

How Johnstown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
23%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Johnstown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Johnstown

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,150, 21% below the Smyrna average. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Rutherford County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $56,715.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47149040311

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47149040311?

Census tract 47149040311 in the Johnstown neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 47149040311?

Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 47149040311?

2.2% of residents in tract 47149040311 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,562.

How socially vulnerable is tract 47149040311?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 23th, minority 67th, housing 94th.

Is tract 47149040311 considered part of Johnstown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47149040311 fall within Johnstown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 47149040311 compare to Smyrna overall?

Tract 47149040311 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Smyrna at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna

Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.