Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Johnstown Eviction Risk: Lower , Smyrna

Tract 47149040312 · Rutherford County, TN · pop 2,549 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Johnstown area of Smyrna, census tract 47149040312 scores 4.6/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 25% of US census tracts.

30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,647 monthly, set against $67,182 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 82% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.4

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 57% Owners 18%

Tract context

Occupied units1,245

Renter share82.2%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate12.5%

Median income$67,182

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Centroid at 35.9868, -86.5564 · click any tract to drill in

Why Johnstown scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Smyrna

4.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Tennessee legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

12.5% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$1,647 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Smyrna

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Smyrna

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Smyrna

5.9

How Johnstown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

43%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Johnstown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Johnstown

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Rutherford County average of 4.3 and in line with the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47149040312

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47149040312?

Census tract 47149040312 in the Johnstown neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 47149040312?

Median gross rent is $1,647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 47149040312?

12.5% of residents in tract 47149040312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,549.

How socially vulnerable is tract 47149040312?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 40th, minority 73th, housing 40th.

Is tract 47149040312 considered part of Johnstown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47149040312 fall within Johnstown (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 47149040312 compare to Smyrna overall?

Tract 47149040312 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Smyrna at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna

Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.