Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.

At $958 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Memphis commands. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $50,603.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.