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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47157007400 · Shelby County, TN · pop 3,096

Tract 47157007400 sits in Memphis eviction risk, TN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 3,096 residents. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 40% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,485
Renter share77.0%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate27.6%
Median income$44,738

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Elevated
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#21 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1119, -89.9359 · click any tract to drill in

Why Memphis scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
27.6% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,190 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Memphis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Memphis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0074004.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 583Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Memphis

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the high side, economic stress reads 6.9/10.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,190, close to the Memphis average. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $44,738.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157007400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157007400?

Census tract 47157007400 in Memphis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157007400?

Median gross rent is $1,190/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157007400?

27.6% of residents in tract 47157007400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,096.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157007400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 1th, minority 62th, housing 90th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47157007400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47157007400 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157007400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 47157007400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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