Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 47157007821 · Shelby County, TN · pop 4,338
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 47157007821 in Memphis, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Shelby County average of 48.3%.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,388
Renter share60.8%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate37.5%
Median income$43,207
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.0799, -90.0073 · click any tract to drill in
Why Memphis scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
37.5% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$904 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Memphis compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 483Total filings 2020-21
- 6.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 11.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Memphis
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.4/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Disability prevalence runs 48.4% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.
Average gross rent is $904, 23% below the Memphis average. It sits 1.1 points above the Shelby County average of 4.3. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $43,207.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157007821
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157007821?
Census tract 47157007821 in Memphis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157007821?
Median gross rent is $904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157007821?
37.5% of residents in tract 47157007821 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,338.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157007821?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 33th, minority 97th, housing 39th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 47157007821 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 47157007821 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157007821 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
47157008200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47157009901
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Parkway Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Egypt
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47157022130
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
North Memphis
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Crosstown
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47157009902
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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