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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47157007822 · Shelby County, TN · pop 1,279

Tract 47157007822 sits in Memphis eviction risk, TN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 11% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units576
Renter share28.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate38.5%
Median income$28,633

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 197 tracts In Memphis
High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.0794, -90.0273 · click any tract to drill in

Why Memphis scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
38.5% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,016 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Memphis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Memphis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0078224.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 147Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Memphis

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.6/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 48.3% across Shelby County. Set annual rent against average income of $28,633 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 51.8% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Average gross rent is $1,016, 14% below the Memphis average.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157007822

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157007822?

Census tract 47157007822 in Memphis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157007822?

Median gross rent is $1,016/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157007822?

38.5% of residents in tract 47157007822 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,279.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157007822?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 63th, minority 94th, housing 38th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47157007822 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47157007822 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157007822 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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