Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Adults with no health insurance runs 37.5% against 11.3% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 53.3% against 31.5% nationally.

The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $36,141, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Shelby County average of 4.3.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters.

Average gross rent is $1,096, close to the Memphis average. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.