Fair Oaks Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10. The voucher gap is 31.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Cost burden runs 54% here against 48.2% across Bexar County.

Against the Bexar County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 9 filings here across 6 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2008 at 4.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $148,758, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.