Sun Park Lane Eviction Risk: Moderate

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 45%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Court records for this tract carry 490 eviction filings.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,129, 15% below the San Antonio average of $1,324.

Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 16.8% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 12.5% in 2008 against a 16.8% peak.

That places it #1 of 88 neighborhoods in San Antonio. Social vulnerability runs high at 10/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.