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Neighborhood · San Antonio, TX

Lavaca Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,140 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 3.7–5.2

Lavaca takes in 2 census tracts of San Antonio, TX, population 4,140. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, Moderate tier. 61% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the San Antonio rate of 32.0%.

The severe-burden share is 38%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3.7 to 5.2. A 1.5-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filings are well documented here: 244 across 2 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 3/10.

The worst year on record was 2007, when filings touched 4.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.4% in 2008, is well off that peak.

Among the 88 mapped neighborhoods of San Antonio, it ranks #24 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Rainbow Hills and Five Points. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,256, close to the San Antonio average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $59,212.

54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lavaca vs San Antonio How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.7% +90%
San Antonio: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,256 -5%
San Antonio: $1,324
Average HH income
$59,212 -6%
San Antonio: $62,917
Poverty rate
22.8% +33%
San Antonio: 17.1%
Renter share
54.0% +13%
San Antonio: 47.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lavaca and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.7–5.2

Why Lavaca scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
22.8% below poverty line · Range 2.8–7.1 across tracts
5.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–3.8 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Lavaca vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lavaca score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7LavacaNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lavaca

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48029110300 5.2 2,788 66% $1,315
48029140100 3.7 1,352 49% $1,135
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lavaca

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 244Total filings (sum)
  • 2.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak year (2007)
  • 2.53%Latest filed (2008)
Frequently asked

About Lavaca

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lavaca?

Lavaca scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lavaca compare to San Antonio overall?

Lavaca scores 0.9 points higher than San Antonio overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,256 vs $1,324.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lavaca?

Average gross rent in Lavaca is $1,256/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lavaca residents are renters?

54% of Lavaca households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in San Antonio). The neighborhood has 4,140 residents.
Q5

Is Lavaca a high social-vulnerability area?

Lavaca sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lavaca have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lavaca is census tract 48029110300 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.2, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Lavaca for landlords?

Lavaca carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Antonio as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lavaca?

Lavaca has 4,220 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (78.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.2%), Other / Multiracial (2.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lavaca

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Antonio

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lavaca.

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