Terrell Wells Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. At $1,052 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of San Antonio commands.

It sits 1.1 points above the Bexar County average of 4.1. Cost burden runs 54% here against 48.2% across Bexar County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 663 filings here across 9 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 17.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.