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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Castlegate II Eviction Risk: Lower , College Station

Tract 48041002026 · Brazos, TX · pop 6,451 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 48041002026 sits in the Castlegate II area of College Station eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 6,451 residents. Cost burden runs 18% here against 53.3% across Brazos County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 7% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,205
Renter share8.7%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$149,482

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Castlegate II
Moderate
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 33 tracts In College Station
Very Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 63 tracts In Brazos
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across College Station and the region

Centroid at 30.5449, -96.2876 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castlegate II scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from College Station
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,885 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from College Station
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from College Station
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from College Station
3.0

How Castlegate II compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castlegate II risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0020263.8College Stationparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castlegate II

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. At $1,885 a month, rents run 58% over what the rest of College Station commands. The voucher gap is 56.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Disability prevalence runs 17.4% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.3 points below the Brazos County average of 4.3.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $149,482, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48041002026

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48041002026?

Census tract 48041002026 in the Castlegate II neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48041002026?

Median gross rent is $1,885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48041002026?

1.7% of residents in tract 48041002026 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,451.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48041002026?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 34th, minority 59th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 48041002026 considered part of Castlegate II?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48041002026 fall within Castlegate II (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48041002026 compare to College Station overall?

Tract 48041002026 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of College Station at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from College Station eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in College Station

Top eight tracts in College Station ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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