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Old River-Winfree, Texas eviction risk overview
City brief · 2,448 residents

Old River-Winfree, TX Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Chambers County · Population 2,448

In 2026
Risk score
2.2
VERY LOW

53th percentile, Texas.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average2.8 Now2.2
10 5 1976 · score 2.0 1977 · score 2.0 1978 · score 2.0 1979 · score 2.0 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 1.8 1989 · score 1.9 1990 · score 1.9 1991 · score 2.0 1992 · score 2.2 1993 · score 2.2 1994 · score 2.2 1995 · score 2.3 1996 · score 2.3 1997 · score 2.3 1998 · score 2.3 1999 · score 2.3 2000 · score 3.0 2001 · score 3.1 2002 · score 3.1 2003 · score 3.1 2004 · score 3.1 2005 · score 3.1 2006 · score 3.2 2007 · score 3.2 2008 · score 3.4 2009 · score 3.4 2010 · score 3.5 2011 · score 3.5 2012 · score 3.4 2013 · score 3.4 2014 · score 3.5 2015 · score 3.5 2016 · score 3.8 2017 · score 3.9 2018 · score 4.0 2019 · score 4.1 2020 · score 4.5 2021 · score 4.5 2022 · score 4.5 2023 · score 4.5 2024 · score 3.6 2025 · score 4.5 2026 · score 2.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 2.7 Regional 2.7 State 1.5 Economic 8.3 Supply 5.5 Rent Control 1.9 Eviction 1.9 Tenant 3.3 Housing 5.1 2.2 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +65.6% (2024)
    2.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    2.7
  3. State political climate
    Texas legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    21.6% poverty · 8.4% unemp.
    8.3
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,430 average · 16.8% renters
    5.5
  6. Rent Control risk
    24.7% of income on rent
    1.9
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    24 days filing → judgment
    1.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    16.8% renters
    3.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Old River-Winfree and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Old River-Winfree compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Chambers County
Moderate
#5 of 8 cities
Rank in county, 43rd percentileBottomTop
#5 of 8 cities in Chambers County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Texas
Moderate
#928 of 1,841 cities
Rank in state, 50th percentileBottomTop
#928 of 1,841 cities in Texas for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Old River-Winfree risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Old River-Winfree: 2.22.2Old River-WinfreeThis cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.2
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 2.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 24d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,430/mo. A contested eviction takes 24 days and costs $1,055-$3,174 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 16.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 2,448 residents, 16.8% rent. 25% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 21.6% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 2.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 2.7 and 2.7 (GOP margin +65.6% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.9, housing court bias 5.1, rent-control risk 1.9. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 8.3
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 8.3. Supply constraint: 5.5. The numbers behind those: 21.6% poverty, 8.4% unemployment, 25% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Old River-Winfree sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 20d 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Pasadena, TX · 27d · ~$2.3k all-in ($85/day) · score 2.4 Pasadena Pearland, TX · 25d · ~$2.1k all-in ($85/day) · score 1.6 Pearland The Woodlands, TX · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($85/day) · score 1.8 The Woodlands League City, TX · 27d · ~$2.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 2 League City Beaumont, TX · 24d · ~$2.2k all-in ($90/day) · score 2 Beaumont Atascocita, TX · 23d · ~$2.1k all-in ($93/day) · score 3.4 Atascocita Baytown, TX · 23d · ~$2.2k all-in ($95/day) · score 3.8 Baytown Missouri City, TX · 27d · ~$2.4k all-in ($90/day) · score 3.3 Missouri City Spring, TX · 25d · ~$2.3k all-in ($92/day) · score 3.6 Spring Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Old River-Winfree
Old River-Winfree · 24d · ~$2.1k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Old River-Winfree, TX

Landlording in Old River-Winfree, Texas, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.2/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Old River-Winfree is a city of 2,448 residents where 16.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 24.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,430/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Old River-Winfree eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Old River-Winfree closes 24 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Old River-Winfree's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Old River-Winfree runs $1,055 to $3,174 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 24 days of typical timeline and $1,430/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3.3/10 in Old River-Winfree, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1.9/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Texas, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Old River-Winfree: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Texas's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,174 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Old River-Winfree

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 24 days and roughly $3,174 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $1,269 to $1,904 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under Property Code Chapter 24.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is the most common mistake landlords make during eviction in Old River-Winfree?

The most common mistake is improper notice. Either the notice period is too short, the notice doesn't contain the correct information (like the exact amount of rent due), or it's not delivered properly. Any of these can get your case dismissed, forcing you to restart the entire process and lose more rent.
Q2

Can I turn off utilities if my tenant isn't paying rent?

Absolutely not. Texas law strictly prohibits landlords from turning off utilities (water, electricity, gas) to force a tenant out, even if they're not paying rent. This is an illegal self-help eviction and can result in severe penalties against you. See Texas tenant protections for more details.
Q3

Is there rent control in Old River-Winfree?

No. Texas has a statewide prohibition on rent control, meaning cities like Old River-Winfree cannot implement rent control policies. You generally have the freedom to set rent prices, though market conditions will always be your primary guide. Learn more in our Texas rent control rules.
Q4

How long do I have to return a security deposit?

In Texas, you must return a tenant's security deposit within 30 days after they move out and surrender possession of the property. If you plan to make deductions for damages beyond normal wear and tear, you must provide an itemized list of those deductions along with any remaining deposit.
Q5

What if the tenant appeals the Justice Court decision?

If a tenant appeals, the case moves to the County Court. This will add significant time and potentially legal costs to the process. You'll need to prepare for another court hearing, and it's highly advisable to have an attorney represent you at this stage. Your Chambers County eviction guide will have local specifics.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.2/10 places Old River-Winfree in the 53rd percentile of Texas cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.