Murphy Eviction Risk: Lower

Cost burden runs 62% here against 44.7% across Collin County. The voucher gap is 42.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 9.2/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. It sits 0.6 points below the Collin County average of 3.6. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,683, close to the Murphy average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $163,125.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.