Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Flower Mound Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121021729 · Denton, TX · pop 2,900
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 48121021729 in Flower Mound, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,900. The voucher gap is 38.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,181
Renter share11.3%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$114,988
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Flower Mound and the region
Centroid at 33.0146, -97.0381 · click any tract to drill in
Why Flower Mound scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,617 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.1
How Flower Mound compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 10 yrs
- 1.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2010)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 9Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.20×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Flower Mound
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.9/10. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Denton County at 45.5%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,617, 17% above the Flower Mound average.
The filing record is not thin: 26 evictions over 10 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2010 at 6.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021729
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021729?
Census tract 48121021729 in Flower Mound scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021729?
Median gross rent is $2,617/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021729?
9.0% of residents in tract 48121021729 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,900.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021729?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 27th, minority 52th, housing 7th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021729?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 48121021729 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.68% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021729 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021729 compare to Flower Mound overall?
Tract 48121021729 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Flower Mound at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flower Mound eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Flower Mound
Top eight tracts in Flower Mound ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121021759
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Highland Forest Addition
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021725
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021726
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021727
3
/ 10 · Low
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