Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Golden Park Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Lewisville
Tract 48121021721 · Denton, TX · pop 4,141 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 48121021721 in the Golden Park Place area of Flower Mound, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,141 residents. Against Denton County at 45.5%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,487
Renter share9.4%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate0.5%
Median income$118,495
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lewisville and the region
Centroid at 33.0555, -97.0528 · click any tract to drill in
Why Golden Park Place scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lewisville
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,336 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lewisville
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lewisville
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lewisville
4.1
How Golden Park Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 56Total filings over 13 yrs
- 2.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2015)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 29Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Golden Park Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Golden Park Place
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 24.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The filing record is not thin: 56 evictions over 13 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points below the Denton County average of 3.8. Filings peaked in 2015 at 3.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021721
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021721?
Census tract 48121021721 in the Golden Park Place neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021721?
Median gross rent is $2,336/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021721?
0.5% of residents in tract 48121021721 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,141.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021721?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 10th, minority 50th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021721 considered part of Golden Park Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021721 fall within Golden Park Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021721?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021721 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.17% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021721 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021721 compare to Lewisville overall?
Tract 48121021721 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lewisville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lewisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lewisville
Top eight tracts in Lewisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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