Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Point Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020115 · Denton, TX · pop 6,344 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Oak Point
48121020115 is a census tract in Oak Point, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,344 residents. Against Denton County at 45.5%, roughly one in eight of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,601
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$120,324
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Point and the region
Centroid at 33.1571, -96.9799 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Point scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Point
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,014 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Point
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Point
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Point
2.5
How Oak Point compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 179Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2007)
- 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 99Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Point
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Court records carry 179 eviction filings across 13 observed years. The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. At $2,014 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Oak Point commands.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 4.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020115
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020115?
Census tract 48121020115 in Oak Point scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020115?
Median gross rent is $2,014/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 12% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020115?
7.7% of residents in tract 48121020115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,344.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020115?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 40th, minority 61th, housing 7th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020115?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 179 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020115 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.05% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020115 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121020115 compare to Oak Point overall?
Tract 48121020115 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Oak Point at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Point
Top eight tracts in Oak Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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