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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Point Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48121020131 · Denton, TX · pop 7,495 · 28% of tract blocks fall in Oak Point

48121020131 is a census tract in Oak Point, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 7,495. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Denton County average of 45.5%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 7% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,908
Renter share21.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$95,221

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Oak Point
Very Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#140 of 193 tracts In Denton
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Point and the region

Centroid at 33.2116, -97.0063 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Point scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Point
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,171 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Point
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Point
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Point
2.5

How Oak Point compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Point risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 020131Oak Point: 3.23.2Oak Pointparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 180Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 15.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.16×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.11× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.13× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.19× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (0.19× baseline)2022-09-01: 16 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.11× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (0.21× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.13× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (0.20× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (0.13× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (0.19× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (0.22× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (0.13× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (0.17× baseline)2024-06-01: 6 filings (0.38× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (0.32× baseline)2024-08-01: 4 filings (0.19× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.11× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (0.16× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (0.21× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (0.28× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (0.31× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.07× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.08× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.11× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.06× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.05× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-11-01: 9 filings (0.47× baseline)2025-12-01: 12 filings (0.83× baseline)2026-01-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Point

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. The voucher gap is 15.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,171, close to the Oak Point average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020131

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020131?

Census tract 48121020131 in Oak Point scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020131?

Median gross rent is $2,171/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020131?

1.9% of residents in tract 48121020131 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,495.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020131?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 33th, minority 56th, housing 22th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020131 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 48121020131 compare to Oak Point overall?

Tract 48121020131 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Oak Point at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Point

Top eight tracts in Oak Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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