Oak Point Eviction Risk: Lower

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. The voucher gap is 15.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,171, close to the Oak Point average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.