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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Paso

Tract 48141001900 · El Paso, TX · pop 2,073 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 48141001900 in the Downtown Historic District area of El Paso, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,073. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 46% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units981
Renter share93.0%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate53.2%
Median income$14,699

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Downtown Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 149 tracts In El Paso
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#37 of 188 tracts In El Paso
High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#1,124 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Paso and the region

Centroid at 31.7524, -106.4807 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Historic District scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Paso
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
53.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$470 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Paso
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Paso
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Paso
3.5

How Downtown Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0019003.5El Pasoparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2012)
  • 9Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Historic District

Average gross rent is $470, 56% below the El Paso average. Adults with no health insurance runs 51.3% against 11.3% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 57.0% against 31.5% nationally.

The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $14,699, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 1.0 points above the El Paso County average of 3.9.

Against El Paso County at 45.7%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 9 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2012 at 1.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for El Paso. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48141001900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48141001900?

Census tract 48141001900 in the Downtown Historic District neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48141001900?

Median gross rent is $470/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48141001900?

53.2% of residents in tract 48141001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48141001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 100th, minority 95th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 48141001900 considered part of Downtown Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48141001900 fall within Downtown Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48141001900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48141001900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.14% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48141001900 compare to El Paso overall?

Tract 48141001900 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of El Paso at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Paso eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48141001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 90% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Paso

Top eight tracts in El Paso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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