Heritage Park West Eviction Risk: Lower

What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.7/10.

The voucher gap is 17.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 413 evictions logged in this tract. Average gross rent is $1,798, 12% above the Katy average of $1,602.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 21.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 11.9% in 2015, is well off that peak.

That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Katy. At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Pin Oak Village and Grayson Lakes score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.