Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Blue Creek Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201534102 · Harris, TX · pop 4,390 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 4.3/10 for census tract 48201534102 reflects conditions in the Blue Creek Ranch area of Houston, Texas. On the national scale it ranks #69,770 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 11% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,630 a month against an average household income of $103,032 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,313
Renter share12.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$103,032
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.9123, -95.5115 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blue Creek Ranch scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,630 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
5.0
How Blue Creek Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 89Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Blue Creek Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blue Creek Ranch
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.61x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201534102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201534102?
Census tract 48201534102 in the Blue Creek Ranch neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201534102?
Median gross rent is $1,630/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201534102?
16.4% of residents in tract 48201534102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,390.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201534102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 61th, minority 94th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 48201534102 considered part of Blue Creek Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201534102 fall within Blue Creek Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201534102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201534102 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201534102 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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