Neighborhood · Ranked #74,103 of 84,120 nationally

Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201423201 · Harris, TX · pop 2,957 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Here is how census tract 48201423201, in Brays Oaks in Houston eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,957. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 20% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,676 monthly, set against $72,107 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 22% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units927

Renter share27.9%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate18.0%

Median income$72,107

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6609, -95.5427 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brays Oaks scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Houston

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

18.0% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

$1,676 rent vs county FMR

6.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Houston

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Houston

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Houston

2.5

How Brays Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

128Total filings over 7 yrs
8.04%Avg annual filing rate
12.7%Peak (2013)
18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2015

Filings climbed 29% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

52Total filings 2020-21
0.7Avg monthly (observed)
1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.44×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.44x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201423201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423201?

Census tract 48201423201 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48201423201?

Median gross rent is $1,676/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423201?

18.0% of residents in tract 48201423201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,957.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 64th, minority 80th, housing 37th.

Is tract 48201423201 considered part of Brays Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423201 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201423201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 128 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201423201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.04% of renter households, peaking at 12.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 48201423201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

How does tract 48201423201 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201423201 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.