Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201423203 · Harris, TX · pop 2,145 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 48201423203 in the Brays Oaks area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,145 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units938
Renter share79.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$56,719
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6609, -95.5322 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,074 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 332Total filings 2020-21
- 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.2% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,074, 21% below the Houston average.
56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Harris County average of 49.5%. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 0.7 points above the Harris County average of 4.0.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201423203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423203?
Census tract 48201423203 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201423203?
Median gross rent is $1,074/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423203?
20.1% of residents in tract 48201423203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,145.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 64th, minority 95th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 48201423203 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423203 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201423203 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201423203 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201423203 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Pleasantville
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Second Ward
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Braeburn
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hobby
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201221400
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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