Carverdale Eviction Risk: Lower

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.8/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Houston baseline of 32.1%, 40% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Court records for this tract carry 116 eviction filings. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 5.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.3% in 2015, is well off that peak.

Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #230 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Copperbrook and Briscoe Falls score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,381, close to the Houston average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $69,402. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.