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Neighborhood · Pasadena, TX

Bowling Green Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 16,993 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.2

Bowling Green takes in 4 census tracts of Pasadena, TX and houses 16,993 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.1/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.8/10. 40% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Pasadena rate of 31.5%. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 618 across 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 9.0% of renter households.

Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 4.4% in 2015, is well off that peak. Average gross rent is $1,299, 7% above the Pasadena average of $1,213.

Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Pasadena, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. For a like-for-like read, Country Briar and River Oaks score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Bowling Green vs Pasadena How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.6% +26%
Pasadena: 31.5%
Average gross rent
$1,299 +7%
Pasadena: $1,213
Average HH income
$79,811 +24%
Pasadena: $64,270
Poverty rate
6.9% -62%
Pasadena: 18.3%
Renter share
35.8% -21%
Pasadena: 45.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bowling Green and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3.2

Why Bowling Green scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–6.1 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 1.0–7.6 across tracts
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–3.0 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 2.0–4.9 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–6.0 across tracts
3.7
Economic stress
6.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.8 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–4.9 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Bowling Green vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bowling Green score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1Bowling GreenNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Bowling Green?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.2 points from 3 to 3.2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Bowling Green

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201322600 3.2 5,020 41% $1,330
48201342500 3 5,973 50% $1,517
48201342400 3 3,599 37% $991
48201322701 3 2,401 14% $1,153
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bowling Green

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 618Total filings (sum)
  • 4.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak year (2014)
  • 4.10%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,243Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.7Avg monthly observed
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.55×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Bowling Green

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bowling Green?

Bowling Green scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bowling Green compare to Pasadena overall?

Bowling Green scores 0.3 points lower than Pasadena overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,299 vs $1,213.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bowling Green?

Average gross rent in Bowling Green is $1,299/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bowling Green residents are renters?

36% of Bowling Green households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Pasadena). The neighborhood has 16,993 residents.
Q5

Is Bowling Green a high social-vulnerability area?

Bowling Green sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bowling Green have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bowling Green is census tract 48201322600 (score 3.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.2, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Bowling Green for landlords?

Bowling Green carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Pasadena as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bowling Green?

Bowling Green has 17,161 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (63.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (34.4%), Other / Multiracial (1.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bowling Green

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Pasadena

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bowling Green.

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