3 census tracts · pop 13,060 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 3.5–5.1
Holiday Forest is a 3-tract neighborhood of Houston, TX, population 13,060. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, Moderate tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Houston rate of 32.1%.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. This is a renter market: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.5 to 5.1. A 1.6-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. At $1,130 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Houston commands.
Court records for this tract carry 1,267 eviction filings. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.
Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 18.3% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 6.9% in 2015, is well off that peak.
That places it #64 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Holiday Forest vs HoustonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority97%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Holiday Forest
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,267Total filings (sum)
12.32%Avg annual filing rate
18.3%Peak year (2012)
6.93%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
2,303Total filings 2020-21
11.4Avg monthly observed
11.8Pre-pandemic baseline
1.19×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).
Frequently asked
About Holiday Forest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Holiday Forest?
Holiday Forest scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Holiday Forest compare to Houston overall?
Holiday Forest scores 1.1 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,130 vs $1,361.
Q3
What is the average rent in Holiday Forest?
Average gross rent in Holiday Forest is $1,130/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Holiday Forest residents are renters?
72% of Holiday Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 13,060 residents.
Q5
Is Holiday Forest a high social-vulnerability area?
Holiday Forest sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Holiday Forest have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Holiday Forest is census tract 48201232701 (score 5.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 5.1, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Holiday Forest for landlords?
Holiday Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Holiday Forest?
Holiday Forest has 12,831 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (73.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (1.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
