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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Spring Branch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201521201 · Harris, TX · pop 1,962 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 48201521201 covers part of the Spring Branch area of Houston, TX, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Adults with no health insurance runs 40.7% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 44% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units621
Renter share69.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$58,606

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In Spring Branch
High
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#304 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#272 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.8070, -95.5037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spring Branch scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,091 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Spring Branch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spring Branch risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 5212013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 146Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.50×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Spring Branch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spring Branch

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Harris County average of 49.5%.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. At $1,091 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Houston commands. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201521201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201521201?

Census tract 48201521201 in the Spring Branch neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201521201?

Median gross rent is $1,091/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201521201?

30.5% of residents in tract 48201521201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,962.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201521201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 92th, minority 88th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 48201521201 considered part of Spring Branch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201521201 fall within Spring Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201521201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201521201 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201521201 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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