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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Country Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201551703 · Harris, TX · pop 8,558 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Winchester Country neighborhood of Houston anchors census tract 48201551703, which lands at 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #58,421 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,601 a month against an average household income of $87,346 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 22% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units3,149
Renter share36.7%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$87,346

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Winchester Country
Very High
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#755 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#849 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4,159 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.9153, -95.5628 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester Country scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,601 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Winchester Country compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winchester Country risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 551703Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 361Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2011)
  • 58Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482015517032009: 39 filings (5.62/100 renter HHs)2010: 60 filings (5.12/100 renter HHs)2011: 65 filings (5.64/100 renter HHs)2012: 38 filings (3.30/100 renter HHs)2013: 55 filings (4.77/100 renter HHs)2014: 46 filings (3.99/100 renter HHs)2015: 58 filings (5.03/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 49% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 615Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.08×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 10 filings (2.11× baseline)2020-02-01: 13 filings (2.36× baseline)2020-03-01: 9 filings (2.12× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-09-01: 13 filings (2.60× baseline)2020-10-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2020-11-01: 9 filings (2.77× baseline)2020-12-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2021-01-01: 11 filings (2.32× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-03-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2021-04-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2021-11-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2022-01-01: 11 filings (2.32× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-04-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2022-07-01: 23 filings (7.67× baseline)2022-08-01: 28 filings (12.44× baseline)2022-09-01: 11 filings (2.20× baseline)2022-10-01: 9 filings (2.12× baseline)2022-11-01: 9 filings (2.77× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2023-02-01: 10 filings (1.82× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2023-05-01: 16 filings (2.46× baseline)2023-06-01: 10 filings (1.82× baseline)2023-07-01: 11 filings (3.67× baseline)2023-08-01: 8 filings (3.56× baseline)2023-09-01: 16 filings (3.20× baseline)2023-10-01: 13 filings (3.06× baseline)2023-11-01: 11 filings (3.38× baseline)2023-12-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2024-01-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2024-02-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2024-03-01: 12 filings (2.82× baseline)2024-04-01: 7 filings (2.15× baseline)2024-05-01: 22 filings (3.38× baseline)2024-06-01: 8 filings (1.45× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-08-01: 13 filings (5.78× baseline)2024-09-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2024-11-01: 10 filings (3.08× baseline)2024-12-01: 22 filings (12.57× baseline)2025-01-01: 7 filings (1.47× baseline)2025-02-01: 14 filings (2.55× baseline)2025-03-01: 17 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 9 filings (2.77× baseline)2025-05-01: 11 filings (1.69× baseline)2025-06-01: 10 filings (1.82× baseline)2025-07-01: 15 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 18 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 14 filings (3.29× baseline)2025-11-01: 10 filings (3.08× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winchester Country. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester Country

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 361 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.6% of renter households in 2011.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Asian and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201551703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201551703?

Census tract 48201551703 in the Winchester Country neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201551703?

Median gross rent is $1,601/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201551703?

3.6% of residents in tract 48201551703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,558.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201551703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 22th, minority 80th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 48201551703 considered part of Winchester Country?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201551703 fall within Winchester Country (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201551703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 361 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201551703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.78% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201551703 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201551703 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201551703 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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