2 census tracts · pop 8,813 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10
· range 7.3–7.3
East Guadalupe is a 2-tract neighborhood of San Marcos, TX and houses 8,813 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. about three-quarters of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the San Marcos rate of 39.8%.
The severe-burden share is 37%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 33%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot is housing-court posture at 8.9/10. That places it #1 of 7 neighborhoods in San Marcos. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
Average gross rent runs $1,285, close to the San Marcos average.
With little internal variation, 7.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
East Guadalupe vs San MarcosHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About East Guadalupe
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for East Guadalupe?
East Guadalupe scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does East Guadalupe compare to San Marcos overall?
East Guadalupe scores 1.4 points higher than San Marcos overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 40% citywide. Average rent: $1,285 vs $1,322.
Q3
What is the average rent in East Guadalupe?
Average gross rent in East Guadalupe is $1,285/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of East Guadalupe residents are renters?
76% of East Guadalupe households are renter-occupied (vs 69% in San Marcos). The neighborhood has 8,813 residents.
Q5
Is East Guadalupe a high social-vulnerability area?
East Guadalupe sits in the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in East Guadalupe have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in East Guadalupe is census tract 48209010200 (score 7.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.3 to 7.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is East Guadalupe for landlords?
East Guadalupe carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Marcos as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of East Guadalupe?
East Guadalupe has 9,534 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.6%), Hispanic / Latino (27.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
