Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

East Guadalupe Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Marcos

Tract 48209010100 · Hays, TX · pop 2,825 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Here is how census tract 48209010100, in the East Guadalupe area of San Marcos eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,825. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 67% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,304 monthly, set against $50,238 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 24% Owners 28%

Tract context

Occupied units1,468

Renter share72.1%

SVI overall0.62

Poverty rate32.2%

Median income$50,238

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 29.8801, -97.9460 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Guadalupe scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Marcos

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

32.2% poverty · this tract

8.1

Supply constraint

$1,304 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Marcos

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Marcos

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Marcos

8.9

How East Guadalupe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Guadalupe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Guadalupe

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hays County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48209010100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48209010100?

Census tract 48209010100 in the East Guadalupe neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48209010100?

Median gross rent is $1,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48209010100?

32.2% of residents in tract 48209010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,825.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48209010100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 3th, minority 51th, housing 85th.

Is tract 48209010100 considered part of East Guadalupe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48209010100 fall within East Guadalupe (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48209010100 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 48209010100 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.