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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

East Guadalupe Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Marcos

Tract 48209010100 · Hays, TX · pop 2,825 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 48209010100 covers part of the East Guadalupe area of San Marcos, TX, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,825. Against Hays County at 50.2%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 24% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,468
Renter share72.1%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate32.2%
Median income$50,238

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In East Guadalupe
Very High
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 16 tracts In San Marcos
Moderate
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 46 tracts In Hays
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 29.8801, -97.9460 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Guadalupe scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.2% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$1,304 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
8.9

How East Guadalupe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Guadalupe risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0101005.9San Marcosparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Guadalupe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Guadalupe

34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Against the Hays County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,304, close to the San Marcos average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $50,238.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48209010100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48209010100?

Census tract 48209010100 in the East Guadalupe neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48209010100?

Median gross rent is $1,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48209010100?

32.2% of residents in tract 48209010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,825.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48209010100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 3th, minority 51th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 48209010100 considered part of East Guadalupe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48209010100 fall within East Guadalupe (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48209010100 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 48209010100 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Marcos at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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