San Juan Eviction Risk: Moderate

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.7/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%. Disability prevalence runs 43.6% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 0.6 points above the Hidalgo County average of 3.9.

That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.