Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

San Juan Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 48215021807 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 4,761

Eviction risk in San Juan centers on tract 48215021807, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,761 residents. It lands near the 70th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,006 a month while the average household earns $51,752 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 8% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,348
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate33.7%
Median income$51,752

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 9 tracts In San Juan
High
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#77 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Elevated
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#266 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#8,912 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Juan and the region

Centroid at 26.2150, -98.1560 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Juan scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Juan
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.7% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,006 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Juan
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Juan
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Juan
8.2

How San Juan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Juan risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 021807San Juan: 2.82.8San Juanparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Juan

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Juan, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hidalgo County average of 4.9 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215021807

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215021807?

Census tract 48215021807 in San Juan scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215021807?

Median gross rent is $1,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215021807?

33.7% of residents in tract 48215021807 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,761.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215021807?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 99th, minority 96th, housing 6th.
Q5

How does tract 48215021807 compare to San Juan overall?

Tract 48215021807 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Juan at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Juan

Top eight tracts in San Juan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related