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Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

San Juan Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48215021808 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 5,046 · 94% of tract blocks fall in San Juan

48215021808 is a census tract in San Juan, TX. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. 15% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 14% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,366
Renter share16.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$46,579

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In San Juan
Moderate
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#111 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#2,880 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#50,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Juan and the region

Centroid at 26.2138, -98.1398 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Juan scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Juan
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Juan
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Juan
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Juan
8.2

How San Juan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Juan risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0218083.5San Juanparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Juan

Adults with no health insurance runs 39.0% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

At $1,202 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of San Juan commands. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.2/10. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The voucher gap is 21.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 8% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hidalgo County average of 3.9 closely.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $46,579.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215021808

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215021808?

Census tract 48215021808 in San Juan scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215021808?

Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215021808?

25.1% of residents in tract 48215021808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,046.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215021808?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 72th, minority 96th, housing 50th.
Q5

How does tract 48215021808 compare to San Juan overall?

Tract 48215021808 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Juan at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Juan

Top eight tracts in San Juan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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