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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

San Juan Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48215022006 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 6,488 · 91% of tract blocks fall in San Juan

48215022006 is a census tract in San Juan, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,488. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 3% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,790
Renter share7.2%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$72,606

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In San Juan
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#166 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Juan and the region

Centroid at 26.1763, -98.1469 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Juan scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Juan
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,150 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Juan
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Juan
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Juan
8.2

How San Juan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Juan risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0220063.5San Juanparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Juan

Cost burden runs 65% here against 42.3% across Hidalgo County. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.7% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,150, 20% above the San Juan average. The voucher gap is 15.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 0.9 points below the Hidalgo County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215022006

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215022006?

Census tract 48215022006 in San Juan scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215022006?

Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215022006?

17.0% of residents in tract 48215022006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,488.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215022006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 69th, minority 96th, housing 35th.
Q5

How does tract 48215022006 compare to San Juan overall?

Tract 48215022006 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of San Juan at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Juan

Top eight tracts in San Juan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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