Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
The Homesteads Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48251130411 ·
Johnson, TX · pop 3,792 · 76% of tract blocks fall in The Homesteads
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 48251130411 in The Homesteads, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,792. 11% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Johnson County average of 44.3%.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 16%Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,044
Renter share17.6%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate24.6%
Median income$66,071
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In The Homesteads
Moderate
Within county
84th percentile
#7 of 39 tracts In Johnson
High
Within state
82th percentile
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
58th percentile
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across The Homesteads and the region
Centroid at 32.4841, -97.1706 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Homesteads scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from The Homesteads
3.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.6% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,116 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from The Homesteads
1.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The Homesteads
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from The Homesteads
5.2
How The Homesteads compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Adults with no health insurance runs 32.5% against 11.3% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.2/10. At $1,116 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of The Homesteads commands.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Johnson County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $66,071.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48251130411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48251130411?
Census tract 48251130411 in The Homesteads scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48251130411?
Median gross rent is $1,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48251130411?
24.6% of residents in tract 48251130411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,792.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48251130411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 86th, minority 75th, housing 61th.
Q5
How does tract 48251130411 compare to The Homesteads overall?
Tract 48251130411 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of The Homesteads at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The Homesteads; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.