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Neighborhood · Lubbock, TX

Shadow Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 10,692 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–4.6

Shadow Hills takes in 3 census tracts of Lubbock, TX, population 10,692. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.6/10, Lower tier. 47% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Lubbock rate of 33.1%.

Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,311 a month, rents sit 11% over what the rest of Lubbock commands. That places it #6 of 11 neighborhoods in Lubbock.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Ironton and Mackenzie Park. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $69,893. 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Shadow Hills vs Lubbock How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.9% +42%
Lubbock: 33.1%
Average gross rent
$1,311 +11%
Lubbock: $1,182
Average HH income
$69,893 +16%
Lubbock: $60,487
Poverty rate
21.9% +15%
Lubbock: 19.0%
Renter share
52.5% +8%
Lubbock: 48.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shadow Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–4.6

Why Shadow Hills scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
21.9% below poverty line · Range 2.9–8.6 across tracts
5.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–9.8 across tracts
6.0
Risk score comparison

Shadow Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shadow Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6Shadow HillsNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Shadow Hills?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 3 to 4.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Shadow Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
48303000408 4.6 3,858 63% $1,078
48303010417 3 4,129 45% $1,234
48303000407 3 2,705 26% $1,759
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 57

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Shadow Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shadow Hills?

Shadow Hills scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shadow Hills compare to Lubbock overall?

Shadow Hills scores 0.4 points higher than Lubbock overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,311 vs $1,182.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shadow Hills?

Average gross rent in Shadow Hills is $1,311/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shadow Hills residents are renters?

53% of Shadow Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Lubbock). The neighborhood has 10,692 residents.
Q5

Is Shadow Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Shadow Hills sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Shadow Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shadow Hills is census tract 48303000408 (score 4.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.6, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Shadow Hills for landlords?

Shadow Hills carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lubbock as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Shadow Hills?

Shadow Hills has 10,878 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.4%), Hispanic / Latino (39.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shadow Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lubbock

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shadow Hills.

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