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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Shadow Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Lubbock

Tract 48303000407 · Lubbock, TX · pop 2,705 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 48303000407 sits in the Shadow Hills area of Lubbock eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 2,705 residents. 26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Lubbock County average of 45.8%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 44% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share59.0%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$93,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Shadow Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#80 of 94 tracts In Lubbock
Very Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 106 tracts In Lubbock
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lubbock and the region

Centroid at 33.5850, -101.9527 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shadow Hills scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lubbock
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,759 rent vs county FMR
9.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lubbock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lubbock
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lubbock
2.0

How Shadow Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shadow Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0004073.2Lubbockparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shadow Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shadow Hills

Average gross rent is $1,759, 49% above the Lubbock average. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.8/10.

The voucher gap is 47.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Lubbock County average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48303000407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48303000407?

Census tract 48303000407 in the Shadow Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48303000407?

Median gross rent is $1,759/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48303000407?

20.0% of residents in tract 48303000407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,705.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48303000407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 35th, minority 61th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 48303000407 considered part of Shadow Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48303000407 fall within Shadow Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48303000407 compare to Lubbock overall?

Tract 48303000407 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Lubbock at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lubbock

Top eight tracts in Lubbock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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